"If Joe Biden remains the Democratic candidate, barring some utterly unexpected turn of events, he will lose."
That's entirely speculative and contradicted by latest polling released by Bloomberg yesterday.
I'm equally convinced that shenanigans by the elite media and those outside the base of the party to replace Biden will look like a coup and will undermine the credibility of the entire Democratic Party.
The mechanics of organizing, funding' staffing and planning a campaign seems to be getting no consideration.
A Democratic candidate who has no funding no organization no staff and no record or platform is certain to lose.
Greg, do you honestly think Biden has any chance of winning? Not “he should win.” Not “he would win if the media behaved properly.” But actually, in reality, has any chance of winning? Because if not, I think my point holds. yes, the difficulties in choosing a new candidate would be tremendous. But it would shake things up. sometimes, a Hail Mary pass is all you can do
Yes of course. I cannot understand the analysis that says he cannot. There is no data to support that and the fundamentals of the race are unchanged.
I do think the Democrats chances suffer significantly if Biden is forced out, for a number of reasons.
Not least the attacks that will come on any Democratic candidate at any level for the party defying the will of the voters based on elite media pressure. And there would be no resources, organizationally materially or intellectually, to respond. Harris or Whitmer or whomever people are fantasizing will be swept to victory are going to be sitting ducks.
I don't understand how you think an internal party coup arranged out of public sight would not deeply harm the Democratic ticket.
Sometimes running a campaign is all you can do. You deal with attacks and respond and adapt. You don't panic and decide based on no data that you need to throw a Hail Mary. Especially in July.
Well, we see things very differently. And I hope you are right, because it doesn’t look like Biden will get replaced. But if you think nothing fundamental has changed in the race, and that this is just elite media panic, I fear you are badly mistaken.
I've been wrong before and could be again. But to be clear I don't think this is "just elite media panic." I think it's an intentional effort by opinion leaders and electeds in the patty who see Biden as either vulnerable or an obstacle to their ambition. I also think it's driven by people who are not talking to swing state voters.
"If Joe Biden remains the Democratic candidate, barring some utterly unexpected turn of events, he will lose."
That's entirely speculative and contradicted by latest polling released by Bloomberg yesterday.
I'm equally convinced that shenanigans by the elite media and those outside the base of the party to replace Biden will look like a coup and will undermine the credibility of the entire Democratic Party.
The mechanics of organizing, funding' staffing and planning a campaign seems to be getting no consideration.
A Democratic candidate who has no funding no organization no staff and no record or platform is certain to lose.
Greg, do you honestly think Biden has any chance of winning? Not “he should win.” Not “he would win if the media behaved properly.” But actually, in reality, has any chance of winning? Because if not, I think my point holds. yes, the difficulties in choosing a new candidate would be tremendous. But it would shake things up. sometimes, a Hail Mary pass is all you can do
Yes of course. I cannot understand the analysis that says he cannot. There is no data to support that and the fundamentals of the race are unchanged.
I do think the Democrats chances suffer significantly if Biden is forced out, for a number of reasons.
Not least the attacks that will come on any Democratic candidate at any level for the party defying the will of the voters based on elite media pressure. And there would be no resources, organizationally materially or intellectually, to respond. Harris or Whitmer or whomever people are fantasizing will be swept to victory are going to be sitting ducks.
I don't understand how you think an internal party coup arranged out of public sight would not deeply harm the Democratic ticket.
Sometimes running a campaign is all you can do. You deal with attacks and respond and adapt. You don't panic and decide based on no data that you need to throw a Hail Mary. Especially in July.
Well, we see things very differently. And I hope you are right, because it doesn’t look like Biden will get replaced. But if you think nothing fundamental has changed in the race, and that this is just elite media panic, I fear you are badly mistaken.
I've been wrong before and could be again. But to be clear I don't think this is "just elite media panic." I think it's an intentional effort by opinion leaders and electeds in the patty who see Biden as either vulnerable or an obstacle to their ambition. I also think it's driven by people who are not talking to swing state voters.
Couldn’t agree more.